According to noaa's tom di liberto in a february 2024 enso blog, a la niña followed an el niño event more than half the time. The likelihood of el niño redeveloping is negligible during this time.
Of interest, is the reasonable certainty by many dynamic and statistical enso phase forecast models that la nina will replace the current el nino during the last third of 2024. Parts of africa’s east coast typically record more rain during el niño events, but excessive rainfall unfolded to devastating, deadly effect in kenya in april and may.
Noaa Projects An 85 Percent Chance That The Enso Cycle Will Shift To Its Neutral Phase Between April And June.
El niño and la niña, both of which significantly.
Of Interest, Is The Reasonable Certainty By Many Dynamic And Statistical Enso Phase Forecast Models That La Nina Will Replace The Current El Nino During The Last Third Of 2024.
El niño weakened substantially over the past month, and we think a transition to neutral conditions is imminent.
Images References :
This Is The Final #Elnino Advisory.
After a year of dominance, el niño released its hold on the tropical pacific in may 2024, according to noaa’s latest update.
El Niño Helped Drive Global Average Temperatures To New Records Over The Last Year.
After a strong el nino, like the world saw in late 2023 and early 2024, conditions tend to swing fairly quickly to la nina.